Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✓69% · @1.32
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom preview and prediction
The match
Murom travel to face Iskra Smolensk in the Second League Group 2 on Saturday 10 October (12:00 WAT). Iskra Smolensk are 14th with 15 points from 21 games (in the bottom three), while Murom sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Iskra Smolensk's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Luki-Energiya 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Murom's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Luki-Energiya 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Murom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Murom 6–0 Iskra Smolensk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Iskra Smolensk and 2.0 for Murom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.99 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Murom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iskra Smolensk15%fair 6.54 · @5.81
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @6.20
Murom69%fair 1.46 · @1.32
2.80Expected goals
0.77Iskra Smolensk xG
2.02Murom xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 0.8 – 2.0 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Murom 69%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
