Value bet: Tver to win @ 2.66 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTver to win ✓44% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver preview and prediction
The match
Tver travel to Nova Arena in the Second League Group 2 on Friday 2 October (12:00 WAT) to face Zvezda St. Petersburg. Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Tver sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Iskra Smolensk 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tver's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Torpedo Vladimir 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tver arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Tver 1–2 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Zvezda St. Petersburg and 1.5 for Tver. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zvezda St. Petersburg 35%, draw 21%, Tver 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Tver to win at 2.66 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Tver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg35%fair 2.83 · @2.52
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.56
Tver44%fair 2.28 · @2.66
2.76Expected goals
1.28Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.47Tver xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.3 – 1.5 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tver 44%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
