Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika II to win ✗63% · @1.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Baltika II vs Cherepovets preview and prediction
The match
Cherepovets travel to Baltika Stadium in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 20 September (15:00 WAT) to face Baltika II. Baltika II are 4th with 40 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Cherepovets sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baltika II's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Spartak Moscow 2 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Cherepovets's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Yenisey II 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Baltika II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Cherepovets 1–0 Baltika II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Baltika II and 0.9 for Cherepovets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika II 63%, draw 17%, Cherepovets 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.98.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.98 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Baltika II 2–0 Cherepovets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika II63%fair 1.58 · @1.51
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.30
Cherepovets19%fair 5.15 · @4.94
2.80Expected goals
1.90Baltika II xG
0.90Cherepovets xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Baltika II 1.9 – 0.9 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Baltika II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cherepovets 19%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Baltika II 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baltika II vs Cherepovets?
Baltika II vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Baltika Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
