Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Murom or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Murom to win @ 1.87 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✓65% · @1.87
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Zvezda St. Petersburg take on Murom on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Nova Arena. Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Murom sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Luki-Energiya 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Murom's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Torpedo Vladimir 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Murom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Murom 3–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Zvezda St. Petersburg and 1.9 for Murom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zvezda St. Petersburg 12%, draw 23%, Murom 65%.
Safer route: Murom or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.89.
Value angle: Murom to win at 1.87 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Murom or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 0–1 Murom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg12%fair 8.21 · @3.84
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Murom65%fair 1.53 · @1.87
2.60Expected goals
0.70Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.90Murom xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 0.7 – 1.9 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
Our pick is Murom or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Murom 65%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 0–1 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
