Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Murom to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓81% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Murom take on Torpedo Vladimir on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Viktor Losev Stadion. Murom are 1st with 44 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Torpedo Vladimir sit 6th on 32 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Murom's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Veles 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torpedo Vladimir's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Luki-Energiya 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Torpedo Vladimir 1–0 Murom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Murom and 0.9 for Torpedo Vladimir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murom 61%, draw 20%, Torpedo Vladimir 19%.
Safer route: Murom or draw (81%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Murom to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Murom or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Murom 1–0 Torpedo Vladimir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.20
Torpedo Vladimir19%fair 5.21 · @3.76
2.71Expected goals
1.82Murom xG
0.89Torpedo Vladimir xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Murom 1.8 – 0.9 Torpedo Vladimir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Our pick is Murom or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir?
On our numbers Murom have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Torpedo Vladimir 19%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Our predicted score is Murom 1–0 Torpedo Vladimir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.