Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Chertanovo Moscow take on Cherepovets on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Chertanovo Arena. Chertanovo Moscow are 5th with 39 points from 21 games (in the top half), while Cherepovets sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chertanovo Moscow's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Spartak Moscow 2 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cherepovets's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Chertanovo Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Chertanovo Moscow and 0.9 for Cherepovets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Chertanovo Moscow or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Cherepovets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertanovo Moscow63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.70
Cherepovets18%fair 5.49 · @4.93
2.75Expected goals
1.89Chertanovo Moscow xG
0.86Cherepovets xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 1.9 – 0.9 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertanovo Moscow to win✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Double chance
Chertanovo Moscow or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Chertanovo Moscow ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertanovo Moscow / FT Chertanovo Moscow✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
DWWWWL
30 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ KDV
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Tver
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Iskra Smolensk
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Chita
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Murom
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cherepovets – last 6
LLDDDL
30 Aug
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–2
L
27 Aug
@ Luki-Energiya
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ FC Tosno
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Tver
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo Moscow and Cherepovets.
What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cherepovets 18%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets?
Chertanovo Moscow vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Chertanovo Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.