Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika II to win ✗71% · @1.37
Double chanceBaltika II or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II preview and prediction
The match
Baltika II travel to face Iskra Smolensk in the Second League Group 2 on Saturday 29 August (12:00 WAT). Iskra Smolensk are 14th with 15 points from 21 games (in the bottom three), while Baltika II sit 4th on 40 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Iskra Smolensk's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Yenisey II 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Baltika II's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Murom 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Baltika II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Baltika II 4–1 Iskra Smolensk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Iskra Smolensk and 2.3 for Baltika II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iskra Smolensk 10%, draw 19%, Baltika II 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baltika II to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Baltika II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iskra Smolensk10%fair 9.73 · @6.55
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.80
Baltika II71%fair 1.41 · @1.37
3.13Expected goals
0.80Iskra Smolensk xG
2.33Baltika II xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 0.8 – 2.3 Baltika II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Our pick is Baltika II to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Baltika II 71%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Baltika II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II?
Iskra Smolensk vs Baltika II (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
