Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChertanovo Moscow to win ✓66% · @1.77
Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Chertanovo Moscow take on Tver on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Chertanovo Arena. Chertanovo Moscow are 5th with 39 points from 21 games (in the top half), while Tver sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chertanovo Moscow's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Iskra Smolensk 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tver's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tver arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Tver 0–2 Chertanovo Moscow.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Chertanovo Moscow and 0.8 for Tver. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Chertanovo Moscow or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.74.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chertanovo Moscow to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Tver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertanovo Moscow66%fair 1.52 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Tver14%fair 7.34 · @4.34
2.85Expected goals
2.04Chertanovo Moscow xG
0.81Tver xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 2.0 – 0.8 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
Our pick is Chertanovo Moscow to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tver 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 2–0 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver?
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Chertanovo Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.