Value bet: Dinamo Vologda to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Vologda to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Zvezda St. Petersburg take on Dinamo Vologda on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Nova Arena. Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Dinamo Vologda sit 11th on 23 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Luki-Energiya 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Dinamo Vologda's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Tver 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Zvezda St. Petersburg and 1.3 for Dinamo Vologda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Dinamo Vologda to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Dinamo Vologda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg34%fair 2.94 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Dinamo Vologda40%fair 2.49 · @2.75
2.52Expected goals
1.19Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.32Dinamo Vologda xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.2 – 1.3 Dinamo Vologda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Vologda to win✗
40%
2.49
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.37
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Vologda / FT Dinamo Vologda✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.37
–
Form
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
LLWDDW
12 Aug
vs Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Baltika II
3–4
L
2 Aug
vs Yenisey II
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Cherepovets
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dinamo Vologda – last 6
WLWDLL
13 Aug
vs Tver
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Yenisey II
4–0
W
28 Jun
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–4
L
13 Jun
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zvezda St. Petersburg and Dinamo Vologda.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dinamo Vologda 40%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Dinamo Vologda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
