Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Baltika II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Baltika II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika II to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceBaltika II or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg preview and prediction
The match
Baltika II host Zvezda St. Petersburg in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Baltika Stadium. Baltika II are 4th with 40 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baltika II's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Torpedo Vladimir 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Yenisey II 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Zvezda St. Petersburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Baltika II and 1.0 for Zvezda St. Petersburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika II 59%, draw 24%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 17%.
Safer route: Baltika II or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Baltika II to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baltika II or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Baltika II 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika II59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Zvezda St. Petersburg17%fair 5.80 · @3.48
2.87Expected goals
1.92Baltika II xG
0.95Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Baltika II 1.9 – 1.0 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika II to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Baltika II or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.47
Half-time result
Baltika II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika II / FT Baltika II✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Form
Baltika II – last 6
DWLWLL
2 Aug
@ Torpedo Vladimir
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ Yenisey II
6–1
W
21 Jun
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–3
L
14 Jun
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–3
L
31 May
@ Cherepovets
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
WDDWLW
2 Aug
vs Yenisey II
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
4 Jul
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ Cherepovets
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Spartak Moscow 2
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Tver
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika II and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Baltika II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Baltika II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 17%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Baltika II 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Baltika II vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Baltika Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
