Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets preview and prediction
The match
Cherepovets travel to Stadion Ekspress in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 5 July (14:00 WAT) to face Luki-Energiya. Luki-Energiya are 3rd with 42 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Cherepovets sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Luki-Energiya's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Spartak Moscow 2 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Cherepovets's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Zvezda St. Petersburg 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Luki-Energiya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Luki-Energiya and 0.9 for Cherepovets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Luki-Energiya 2–0 Cherepovets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luki-Energiya60%fair 1.67 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.92
Cherepovets20%fair 5.12 · @4.80
2.60Expected goals
1.75Luki-Energiya xG
0.85Cherepovets xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.7 – 0.9 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luki-Energiya to win✓
60%
1.67
1.54
Double chance
Luki-Energiya or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Luki-Energiya – last 6
WWDWWD
28 Jun
@ Spartak Moscow 2
2–0
W
21 Jun
vs Tver
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Murom
2–1
W
24 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cherepovets – last 6
LLLDWL
28 Jun
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Dinamo Vologda
2–2
D
31 May
vs Baltika II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Yenisey II
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luki-Energiya and Cherepovets.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cherepovets 20%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ekspress.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
