Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.58 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.58Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTver to win ✓42% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Iskra Smolensk vs Tver preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Iskra Smolensk take on Tver on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Iskra Smolensk are 14th with 15 points from 21 games (in the bottom three), while Tver sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Iskra Smolensk's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Murom 0–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tver's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Murom 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tver arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Iskra Smolensk and 1.5 for Tver. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.58. Predicted score: Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Tver. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iskra Smolensk36%fair 2.76 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.52
Tver42%fair 2.41 · @2.43
2.85Expected goals
1.37Iskra Smolensk xG
1.49Tver xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 1.4 – 1.5 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tver to win✓
42%
2.41
2.43
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.58
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tver / FT Tver✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
LDDLLL
21 Jun
@ Murom
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–1
D
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tver – last 6
WLLLWL
28 Jun
vs Murom
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–2
L
31 May
vs Irkutsk
3–2
W
24 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iskra Smolensk and Tver.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tver 42%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 1–1 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Tver?
Iskra Smolensk vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
