Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Cherepovets to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherepovets to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chanceCherepovets or draw ✗85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Cherepovets take on Zvezda St. Petersburg on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Cherepovets are 9th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cherepovets's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Torpedo Vladimir 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 2 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Cherepovets and 0.9 for Zvezda St. Petersburg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cherepovets 63%, draw 22%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 15%.
Safer route: Cherepovets or draw (85%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.47.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cherepovets to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cherepovets 2–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherepovets63%fair 1.59 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.96
Zvezda St. Petersburg15%fair 6.74 · @3.96
2.93Expected goals
2.04Cherepovets xG
0.90Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cherepovets 2.0 – 0.9 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherepovets to win✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Double chance
Cherepovets or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.47
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Half-time result
Cherepovets ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherepovets / FT Cherepovets✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Cherepovets – last 6
LLDWLW
21 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Dinamo Vologda
2–2
D
31 May
vs Baltika II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Yenisey II
2–4
L
11 May
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
LWDDLL
23 Jun
vs Spartak Moscow 2
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Tver
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
3 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–1
D
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherepovets and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Cherepovets to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Cherepovets have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Cherepovets 2–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Cherepovets vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
