Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Tver or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Tver to win @ 1.92 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTver to win ✗64% · @1.92
Double chanceTver or draw ✗83% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.89
Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg preview and prediction
The match
Zvezda St. Petersburg travel to face Tver in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 14 June (15:00 WAT). Tver are 8th with 24 points from 21 games (in the top half), while Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tver's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Torpedo Vladimir 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Iskra Smolensk 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Tver and 0.8 for Zvezda St. Petersburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tver 64%, draw 19%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 17%.
Safer route: Tver or draw (83%) at 1.23.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.66.
Value angle: Tver to win at 1.92 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tver or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.23, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tver 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tver64%fair 1.57 · @1.92
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.35
Zvezda St. Petersburg17%fair 5.93 · @3.40
2.70Expected goals
1.88Tver xG
0.82Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tver 1.9 – 0.8 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tver to win✗
64%
1.57
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Tver or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.31
Half-time result
Tver ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tver / FT Tver✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
Tver – last 6
LWLLLD
7 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–2
L
31 May
vs Irkutsk
3–2
W
24 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–2
L
21 May
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–2
L
17 May
vs Baltika II
0–1
L
10 May
@ Yenisey II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
DDLLDL
6 Jun
vs Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
3 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–1
D
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
10 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tver and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Tver or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Tver have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Tver 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Tver vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
