Value bet: Murom to win @ 2.77 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✗39% · @2.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Luki-Energiya vs Murom preview and prediction
The match
Murom travel to Stadion Ekspress in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 7 June (14:00 WAT) to face Luki-Energiya. Luki-Energiya are 3rd with 42 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Murom sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Luki-Energiya's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Zvezda St. Petersburg 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Murom's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Zvezda St. Petersburg 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Luki-Energiya and 1.2 for Murom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Murom to win at 2.77 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Luki-Energiya 1–1 Murom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luki-Energiya37%fair 2.70 · @2.27
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.22
Murom39%fair 2.55 · @2.77
2.31Expected goals
1.13Luki-Energiya xG
1.18Murom xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.1 – 1.2 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win✗
39%
2.55
2.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Luki-Energiya – last 6
WDWWDW
24 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
10 May
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
3 May
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Baltika II
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Yenisey II
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Murom – last 6
WLWWDW
31 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
23 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luki-Energiya and Murom.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Murom 39%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–1 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Murom?
Luki-Energiya vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ekspress.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
