Value bet: Zvezda St. Petersburg to win @ 1.71 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZvezda St. Petersburg to win ✗62% · @1.71
Double chanceZvezda St. Petersburg or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 2 sees Zvezda St. Petersburg take on Iskra Smolensk on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Nova Arena. Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Iskra Smolensk sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Irkutsk 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Iskra Smolensk's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Torpedo Vladimir 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Zvezda St. Petersburg and 0.7 for Iskra Smolensk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Safer route: Zvezda St. Petersburg or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Zvezda St. Petersburg to win at 1.71 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–0 Iskra Smolensk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg62%fair 1.61 · @1.71
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.54
Iskra Smolensk14%fair 7.18 · @4.10
2.57Expected goals
1.82Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
0.75Iskra Smolensk xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.8 – 0.7 Iskra Smolensk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zvezda St. Petersburg to win✗
62%
1.61
1.71 ▲
Double chance
Zvezda St. Petersburg or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Zvezda St. Petersburg ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zvezda St. Petersburg / FT Zvezda St. Petersburg✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
DLLDLD
3 Jun
vs Irkutsk
1–1
D
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
10 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
LLLWLD
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
2 May
vs Yenisey II
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Cherepovets
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zvezda St. Petersburg and Iskra Smolensk.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Iskra Smolensk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–0 Iskra Smolensk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Iskra Smolensk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
