Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg preview and prediction
The match
Zvezda St. Petersburg travel to Stadion Nova Arena in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 24 May (14:00 WAT) to face Luki-Energiya. Luki-Energiya are 3rd with 42 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Zvezda St. Petersburg sit 10th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Luki-Energiya's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Torpedo Vladimir 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 4: DLDD Most recently they drew with Torpedo Vladimir 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Luki-Energiya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Luki-Energiya and 0.6 for Zvezda St. Petersburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Luki-Energiya 66%, draw 20%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 14%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Luki-Energiya 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luki-Energiya66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.68
Zvezda St. Petersburg14%fair 7.38 · @4.65
2.30Expected goals
1.71Luki-Energiya xG
0.59Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.7 – 0.6 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luki-Energiya to win✓
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Luki-Energiya or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Luki-Energiya ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Luki-Energiya – last 6
DWWDWD
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
10 May
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
3 May
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Baltika II
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Yenisey II
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 4
DLDD
10 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luki-Energiya and Zvezda St. Petersburg.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 14%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Luki-Energiya vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
