Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Irkutsk to win @ 2.96 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZvezda St. Petersburg to win ✗38% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk preview and prediction
The match
Zvezda St. Petersburg host Irkutsk in the Second League Group 2 on Wednesday 3 June, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Nova Arena. Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th with 24 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Irkutsk sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Murom 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Irkutsk's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Tver 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Irkutsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Zvezda St. Petersburg and 1.4 for Irkutsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zvezda St. Petersburg 38%, draw 24%, Irkutsk 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Irkutsk to win at 2.96 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Irkutsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg38%fair 2.64 · @2.23
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.06
Irkutsk38%fair 2.64 · @2.96
2.70Expected goals
1.35Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.35Irkutsk xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.4 – 1.4 Irkutsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zvezda St. Petersburg to win✗
38%
2.64
2.23
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zvezda St. Petersburg / FT Zvezda St. Petersburg✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Zvezda St. Petersburg – last 6
LLDLDD
31 May
@ Murom
0–3
L
24 May
@ Luki-Energiya
0–3
L
10 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Irkutsk – last 6
LWLLWL
31 May
@ Tver
2–3
L
24 May
vs Iskra Smolensk
2–1
W
14 May
vs Spartak Moscow 2
0–1
L
10 May
vs Luki-Energiya
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Vologda
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zvezda St. Petersburg and Irkutsk.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Irkutsk 38%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Irkutsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Irkutsk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 3 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
