Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevastopol to win ✗71% · @1.28
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Sevastopol vs Izberbash preview and prediction
The match
Sevastopol host Izberbash in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks. Sevastopol are 1st with 50 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Izberbash sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sevastopol's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Dynamo Makhachkala II 6–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Izberbash's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Druzhba 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sevastopol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Sevastopol and 0.8 for Izberbash. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.97 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sevastopol to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sevastopol 2–0 Izberbash. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevastopol71%fair 1.42 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @4.50
Izberbash12%fair 8.50 · @11.30
3.07Expected goals
2.27Sevastopol xG
0.80Izberbash xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sevastopol 2.3 – 0.8 Izberbash expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✗
71%
1.42
1.28
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✓
88%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.97 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.54
Half-time result
Sevastopol ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Sevastopol – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Oct
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
6–0
W
3 Oct
vs Lugansk
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Rostov II
1–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rubin Yalta
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Kyzyltash
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Spartak Nalchik
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Izberbash – last 6
LDDWLL
3 Oct
@ Druzhba
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Nart Cherkessk
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Astrakhan
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Pobeda
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ FK Chayka 2
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevastopol and Izberbash.
What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Our pick is Sevastopol to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
On our numbers Sevastopol have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Izberbash 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Izberbash, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Sevastopol vs Izberbash (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
