Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Pobeda to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKyzyltash to win ✓39% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Kyzyltash vs Pobeda preview and prediction
The match
Kyzyltash host Pobeda in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Kyzyltash are 6th with 31 points from 21 games (in the top half), while Pobeda sit 5th on 33 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kyzyltash's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Astrakhan 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pobeda's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Rubin Yalta 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Pobeda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Kyzyltash and 1.5 for Pobeda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kyzyltash 39%, draw 24%, Pobeda 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.56.
Value angle: Pobeda to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Kyzyltash 1–1 Pobeda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kyzyltash39%fair 2.58 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Pobeda37%fair 2.72 · @2.95
3.03Expected goals
1.54Kyzyltash xG
1.49Pobeda xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kyzyltash 1.5 – 1.5 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyzyltash to win✓
39%
2.58
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.56
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyzyltash / FT Kyzyltash✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Form
Kyzyltash – last 6
DWLWLW
10 Oct
@ Astrakhan
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shahter Taganrog
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ FK Chayka 2
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Rubin Yalta
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sevastopol
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Nart Cherkessk
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pobeda – last 6
WLWWWW
10 Oct
vs Rubin Yalta
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Angust Nazran
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Spartak Nalchik
4–3
W
20 Sep
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Astrakhan
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Izberbash
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyzyltash and Pobeda.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Kyzyltash have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pobeda 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Kyzyltash 1–1 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
Kyzyltash vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
