Value bet: Phoenix Rising to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrange County SC to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising preview and prediction
The match
Phoenix Rising travel to Championship Soccer Stadium in the US Open Cup on Thursday 2 April (03:00 WAT) to face Orange County SC.
Form guide
Orange County SC's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Phoenix Rising's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with FC Tulsa 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Orange County SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Phoenix Rising 1–1 Orange County SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Orange County SC and 1.4 for Phoenix Rising. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Phoenix Rising to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Orange County SC 2–1 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orange County SC45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.25
Phoenix Rising34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
3.09Expected goals
1.67Orange County SC xG
1.42Phoenix Rising xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.7 – 1.4 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 34%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 2–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising (US Open Cup) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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