Value bet: Druzhba to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRostov II to win ✗41% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Rostov II vs Druzhba preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 1 sees Rostov II take on Druzhba on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Rostov II are 3rd with 46 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Druzhba sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rostov II's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Sevastopol 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Druzhba's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Izberbash 4–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Druzhba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Rostov II and 1.3 for Druzhba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rostov II 41%, draw 25%, Druzhba 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.68.
Value angle: Druzhba to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Rostov II 1–1 Druzhba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rostov II41%fair 2.46 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Druzhba34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
2.72Expected goals
1.44Rostov II xG
1.29Druzhba xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Rostov II 1.4 – 1.3 Druzhba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rostov II to win✗
41%
2.46
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rostov II / FT Rostov II✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
Rostov II – last 6
LDLWWD
26 Sep
vs Sevastopol
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Shahter Taganrog
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Lugansk
0–5
L
5 Sep
@ FK Chayka 2
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Pobeda
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ Astrakhan
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Druzhba – last 6
WLWWDW
3 Oct
vs Izberbash
4–0
W
27 Sep
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Spartak Nalchik
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Nart Cherkessk
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Enisey
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Angust Nazran
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rostov II and Druzhba.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Rostov II vs Druzhba?
On our numbers Rostov II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Druzhba 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rostov II vs Druzhba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rostov II vs Druzhba?
Our predicted score is Rostov II 1–1 Druzhba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rostov II vs Druzhba?
Rostov II vs Druzhba (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
