The Second League Group 1 sees Pobeda take on Rubin Yalta on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak. Pobeda are 5th with 33 points from 20 games (in the top half), while Rubin Yalta sit 4th on 34 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pobeda's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Angust Nazran 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rubin Yalta's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat FK Chayka 2 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Pobeda and 1.3 for Rubin Yalta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Pobeda 1–1 Rubin Yalta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pobeda43%fair 2.31 · @2.36
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Rubin Yalta34%fair 2.91 · @2.90
2.80Expected goals
1.50Pobeda xG
1.30Rubin Yalta xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Pobeda 1.5 – 1.3 Rubin Yalta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pobeda to win✓
43%
2.31
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pobeda / FT Pobeda✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.01
–
Form
Pobeda – last 6
LWWWWL
3 Oct
@ Angust Nazran
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Spartak Nalchik
4–3
W
20 Sep
@ Dynamo Makhachkala II
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Astrakhan
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Izberbash
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rostov II
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rubin Yalta – last 6
WWLLWW
3 Oct
vs FK Chayka 2
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Shahter Taganrog
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Sevastopol
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kyzyltash
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Druzhba
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Nart Cherkessk
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pobeda and Rubin Yalta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta?
On our numbers Pobeda have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rubin Yalta 34%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta?
Our predicted score is Pobeda 1–1 Rubin Yalta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta?
Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
