Value bet: Astrakhan to win @ 3.78 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Nalchik to win ✓47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 1 sees Spartak Nalchik take on Astrakhan on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Spartak Nalchik are 8th with 28 points from 20 games (in the top half), while Astrakhan sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Spartak Nalchik's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Pobeda 3–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Astrakhan's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Angust Nazran 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Astrakhan 0–2 Spartak Nalchik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Spartak Nalchik and 1.1 for Astrakhan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Astrakhan to win at 3.78 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Spartak Nalchik 1–1 Astrakhan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Nalchik47%fair 2.13 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Astrakhan33%fair 3.07 · @3.78
2.54Expected goals
1.42Spartak Nalchik xG
1.12Astrakhan xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Nalchik 1.4 – 1.1 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan?
On our numbers Spartak Nalchik have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astrakhan 33%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan?
Our predicted score is Spartak Nalchik 1–1 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan?
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
