Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Pobeda to win @ 1.93 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPobeda to win ✗62% · @1.93
Double chancePobeda or draw ✗87% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda preview and prediction
The match
Pobeda travel to face Angust Nazran in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 3 October (13:00 WAT). Angust Nazran are 13th with 16 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Pobeda sit 5th on 33 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Angust Nazran's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Astrakhan 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Pobeda's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Spartak Nalchik 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Pobeda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Pobeda 0–1 Angust Nazran.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Angust Nazran and 1.8 for Pobeda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Pobeda to win at 1.93 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pobeda or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.23, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Angust Nazran13%fair 7.78 · @3.96
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.58
Pobeda62%fair 1.61 · @1.93
2.45Expected goals
0.69Angust Nazran xG
1.77Pobeda xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Angust Nazran 0.7 – 1.8 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Our pick is Pobeda or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Angust Nazran have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pobeda 62%.
How many goals will there be in Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Angust Nazran 0–1 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Angust Nazran vs Pobeda?
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
