Value bet: Sevastopol to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevastopol to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceSevastopol or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.19
Rostov II vs Sevastopol preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 1 sees Rostov II take on Sevastopol on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Rostov II are 3rd with 46 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Sevastopol sit 1st on 50 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Rostov II's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Shahter Taganrog 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sevastopol's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Rubin Yalta 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Sevastopol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Rostov II and 2.0 for Sevastopol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rostov II 15%, draw 22%, Sevastopol 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Sevastopol to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rostov II 0–2 Sevastopol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rostov II15%fair 6.85 · @5.34
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Sevastopol64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
2.77Expected goals
0.82Rostov II xG
1.95Sevastopol xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Rostov II 0.8 – 2.0 Sevastopol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevastopol to win✓
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Sevastopol or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.32
Half-time result
Sevastopol ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevastopol / FT Sevastopol✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.19
–
Form
Rostov II – last 6
DLWWDD
19 Sep
vs Shahter Taganrog
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Lugansk
0–5
L
5 Sep
@ FK Chayka 2
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Pobeda
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ Astrakhan
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Angust Nazran
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sevastopol – last 6
WWWWLW
22 Sep
vs Rubin Yalta
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Kyzyltash
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Spartak Nalchik
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Angust Nazran
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Astrakhan
3–4
L
8 Aug
@ Pobeda
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rostov II and Sevastopol.
What is the prediction for Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
On our numbers Rostov II have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sevastopol 64%.
How many goals will there be in Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
Our predicted score is Rostov II 0–2 Sevastopol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rostov II vs Sevastopol?
Rostov II vs Sevastopol (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
