Value bet: Astrakhan to win @ 2.42 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAstrakhan to win ✓44% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.30
Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan preview and prediction
The match
Astrakhan travel to face Angust Nazran in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 26 September (13:00 WAT). Angust Nazran are 13th with 16 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Astrakhan sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Angust Nazran's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Nart Cherkessk 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Astrakhan's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Izberbash 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Astrakhan 0–1 Angust Nazran.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Angust Nazran and 1.3 for Astrakhan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Astrakhan to win at 2.42 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Angust Nazran 1–1 Astrakhan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Angust Nazran34%fair 2.97 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Astrakhan44%fair 2.27 · @2.42
2.37Expected goals
1.08Angust Nazran xG
1.29Astrakhan xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Angust Nazran 1.1 – 1.3 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
On our numbers Angust Nazran have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Astrakhan 44%.
How many goals will there be in Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
Our predicted score is Angust Nazran 1–1 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan?
Angust Nazran vs Astrakhan (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.