Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Rubin Yalta to win @ 1.78 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRubin Yalta to win ✓64% · @1.78
Double chanceRubin Yalta or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49
Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba preview and prediction
The match
Rubin Yalta host Druzhba in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Avangard Stadium. Rubin Yalta are 4th with 34 points from 20 games (in the top four), while Druzhba sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rubin Yalta's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Nart Cherkessk 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Druzhba's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Izberbash 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rubin Yalta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Druzhba 2–2 Rubin Yalta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Rubin Yalta and 0.8 for Druzhba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Rubin Yalta to win at 1.78 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rubin Yalta or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rubin Yalta 1–0 Druzhba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin Yalta64%fair 1.56 · @1.78
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.60
Druzhba14%fair 7.02 · @4.03
2.65Expected goals
1.89Rubin Yalta xG
0.76Druzhba xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rubin Yalta 1.9 – 0.8 Druzhba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
Our pick is Rubin Yalta or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
On our numbers Rubin Yalta have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Druzhba 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
Our predicted score is Rubin Yalta 1–0 Druzhba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?
Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.