Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Pobeda to win @ 3.34 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRostov II to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Rostov II vs Pobeda preview and prediction
The match
Rostov II host Pobeda in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Rostov II are 3rd with 46 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Pobeda sit 5th on 33 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rostov II's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Astrakhan 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pobeda's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Lugansk 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Pobeda 2–2 Rostov II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Rostov II and 1.4 for Pobeda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rostov II 46%, draw 21%, Pobeda 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Pobeda to win at 3.34 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Rostov II 1–1 Pobeda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rostov II46%fair 2.15 · @2.02
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Pobeda33%fair 3.05 · @3.34
3.07Expected goals
1.69Rostov II xG
1.38Pobeda xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rostov II 1.7 – 1.4 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Rostov II vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Rostov II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pobeda 33%.
How many goals will there be in Rostov II vs Pobeda?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rostov II vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Rostov II 1–1 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rostov II vs Pobeda?
Rostov II vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.