Rostov II travel to Stadion Spartak in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 4 July (14:30 WAT) to face Pobeda. Pobeda are 5th with 33 points from 20 games (in the top half), while Rostov II sit 3rd on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pobeda's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Lugansk 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Rostov II's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Astrakhan 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Rostov II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Pobeda and 1.4 for Rostov II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pobeda 41%, draw 23%, Rostov II 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Pobeda 1–1 Rostov II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pobeda41%fair 2.42 · @2.36
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.38
Rostov II36%fair 2.78 · @2.54
2.88Expected goals
1.50Pobeda xG
1.38Rostov II xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Pobeda 1.5 – 1.4 Rostov II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pobeda to win✗
41%
2.42
2.36
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pobeda / FT Pobeda✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Pobeda – last 6
WLLWWL
27 Jun
@ Lugansk
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Sevastopol
1–2
L
30 May
@ Shahter Taganrog
1–3
L
23 May
vs Izberbash
7–0
W
8 May
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Spartak Nalchik
1–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rostov II – last 6
WWDWWW
27 Jun
vs Astrakhan
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Angust Nazran
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Spartak Nalchik
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Izberbash
3–1
W
30 May
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
3–1
W
23 May
vs FK Chayka 2
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pobeda and Rostov II.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Pobeda vs Rostov II?
On our numbers Pobeda have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rostov II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda vs Rostov II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda vs Rostov II?
Our predicted score is Pobeda 1–1 Rostov II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pobeda vs Rostov II?
Pobeda vs Rostov II (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
