Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.49 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
2
Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 3.22 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✗39% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
Volga Ulyanovsk host Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Trud Stadium. Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th with 22 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Ska-khabarovsk 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Spartak Kostroma 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Volga Ulyanovsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.1 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 39%, draw 25%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win at 3.22 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk39%fair 2.55 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.04
Shinnik Yaroslavl35%fair 2.83 · @3.22
2.18Expected goals
1.13Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.05Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.1 – 1.1 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✗
39%
2.55
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.57
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
DWDWDW
5 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 4
DDWL
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Enisey
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
2 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 35%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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