Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.39
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
2
Value bet: Arsenal Tula to win @ 3.54 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.90
Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal Tula travel to Arena Khimki in the First League on Sunday 12 April (14:30 WAT) to face Torpedo Moskva. Torpedo Moskva are 3rd with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Arsenal Tula sit 12th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with FC UFA 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal Tula's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Fakel 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Torpedo Moskva and 1.0 for Arsenal Tula. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Moskva 46%, draw 23%, Arsenal Tula 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.99.
Value angle: Arsenal Tula to win at 3.54 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Moskva46%fair 2.16 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.08
Arsenal Tula31%fair 3.22 · @3.54
2.36Expected goals
1.34Torpedo Moskva xG
1.02Arsenal Tula xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.3 – 1.0 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win
46%
2.16
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.90
–
Form
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
DWWWLW
6 Apr
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
30 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
LWWLLL
5 Apr
vs Fakel
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Ural
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal Tula 31%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula?
Torpedo Moskva vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov0