Thursday, 12 November 2026 3 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Premier League · Jamaica · Waterhouse Mini Stadium
1–0
FT

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultWaterhouse to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.02

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens preview and prediction

The match

The Premier League sees Waterhouse take on Tivoli Gardens on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium. Waterhouse are 2nd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Tivoli Gardens sit 7th on 12 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Waterhouse's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Arnett Gardens 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Tivoli Gardens's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Harbour View 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Waterhouse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Waterhouse 1–1 Tivoli Gardens.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Waterhouse and 0.6 for Tivoli Gardens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Waterhouse65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.50
Tivoli Gardens11%fair 9.42 · @5.00
2.37Expected goals
1.78Waterhouse xG
0.59Tivoli Gardens xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Waterhouse 1.8 – 0.6 Tivoli Gardens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaterhouse to win ✓65%1.531.62 ▲
Double chanceWaterhouse or draw ✓89%1.121.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Half-time resultWaterhouse ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waterhouse / FT Waterhouse ✓42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%6.02–

Form

Waterhouse – last 6

DWLWWL
6 Aprvs Arnett Gardens1–1D
31 Marvs Spanish Town Police5–1W
26 Mar@ Portmore United1–2L
23 Marvs Cavalier2–1W
18 Mar@ Molynes United4–0W
16 Marvs Montego Bay United0–4L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tivoli Gardens – last 5

WLLDD
29 Marvs Harbour View3–2W
25 Marvs Chapelton0–1L
19 Marvs Arnett Gardens0–2L
4 Marvs Mount Pleasant Academy1–1D
16 Feb@ Waterhouse1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Feb 2026Waterhouse v Tivoli Gardens1–1
Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

On our numbers Waterhouse have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tivoli Gardens 11%.

How many goals will there be in Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Our predicted score is Waterhouse 1–0 Tivoli Gardens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens?

Waterhouse vs Tivoli Gardens (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Waterhouse Mini Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.