Value bet: Montego Bay United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontego Bay United to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Arnett Gardens take on Montego Bay United on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex. Arnett Gardens are 6th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Montego Bay United sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arnett Gardens's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Waterhouse 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montego Bay United's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Cavalier 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Arnett Gardens and 1.8 for Montego Bay United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arnett Gardens 22%, draw 17%, Montego Bay United 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Montego Bay United to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arnett Gardens 1–1 Montego Bay United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arnett Gardens22%fair 4.47 · @3.45
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.45
Montego Bay United61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
2.77Expected goals
0.95Arnett Gardens xG
1.82Montego Bay United xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
0–06%
From our goals model: Arnett Gardens 1.0 – 1.8 Montego Bay United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montego Bay United to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Montego Bay United ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montego Bay United / FT Montego Bay United✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Arnett Gardens – last 6
DDLWWD
6 Apr
@ Waterhouse
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Mount Pleasant Academy
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Harbour View
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Tivoli Gardens
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Racing United
4–0
W
9 Mar
vs Molynes United
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Montego Bay United – last 6
WDWWLD
29 Mar
vs Cavalier
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Molynes United
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Dunbeholden
4–3
W
16 Mar
@ Waterhouse
4–0
W
10 Mar
@ Waterhouse
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Harbour View
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arnett Gardens and Montego Bay United.
What is the prediction for Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
On our numbers Arnett Gardens have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Montego Bay United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
Our predicted score is Arnett Gardens 1–1 Montego Bay United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United?
Arnett Gardens vs Montego Bay United (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Harbour View1