Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✓73% · @1.22
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Fluminense vs Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
Bolívar travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Tuesday 19 May (23:00 WAT) to face Fluminense. Fluminense are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Bolívar sit 3rd on 5 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Operario-PR 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bolívar's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Nacional Potosí 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Bolívar 2–0 Fluminense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Fluminense and 0.5 for Bolívar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–0 Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense73%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @5.60
Bolívar12%fair 8.51 · @14.50
2.40Expected goals
1.88Fluminense xG
0.52Bolívar xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.9 – 0.5 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Fluminense vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bolívar 12%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Bolívar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Bolívar?
Fluminense vs Bolívar (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coquimbo Unido3
Deportes Tolima0
Rosario Central4
UCV0