Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Deportes Tolima to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓41% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Tolima travel to Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Tuesday 19 May (23:00 WAT) to face Coquimbo Unido. Coquimbo Unido are 1st with 10 points from 6 games, while Deportes Tolima sit 2nd on 8 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat A. Italiano 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportes Tolima's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Atletico Nacional 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Coquimbo Unido and 1.1 for Deportes Tolima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Deportes Tolima to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Deportes Tolima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coquimbo Unido41%fair 2.46 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Deportes Tolima35%fair 2.86 · @3.35
2.28Expected goals
1.20Coquimbo Unido xG
1.08Deportes Tolima xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.2 – 1.1 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportes Tolima 35%.
How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?
Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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