Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras preview and prediction
The match
Palmeiras travel to Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Tuesday 5 May (23:00 WAT) to face Sporting Cristal. Sporting Cristal are 3rd with 6 points from 6 games, while Palmeiras sit 2nd on 11 points.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Junior 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 April 2026, finished Palmeiras 2–1 Sporting Cristal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Sporting Cristal and 1.6 for Palmeiras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 0–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal18%fair 5.69 · @5.25
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.65
Palmeiras59%fair 1.71 · @1.65
2.58Expected goals
0.95Sporting Cristal xG
1.63Palmeiras xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 0.9 – 1.6 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Palmeiras 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 0–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rosario Central1
Libertad Asuncion0