Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓93% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Independiente Medellin vs Cusco preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Independiente Medellin take on Cusco on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Independiente Medellin are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Cusco sit 4th on 1 points.
Form guide
Independiente Medellin's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Fortaleza FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cusco's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat FC Cajamarca 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Independiente Medellin and 0.6 for Cusco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Independiente Medellin 2–0 Cusco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Medellin70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.70
Cusco7%fair 13.91 · @8.70
2.72Expected goals
2.11Independiente Medellin xG
0.61Cusco xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 2.1 – 0.6 Cusco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Independiente Medellin – last 6
WWLLDD
26 Apr
vs Fortaleza FC
1–0
W
23 Apr
vs Chico
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Flamengo
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Atletico Nacional
2–3
L
9 Apr
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Once Caldas
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cusco – last 6
WLLLLW
23 Apr
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Alianza Lima
0–8
L
14 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Flamengo
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Cienciano
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Cusco.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cusco 7%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 2–0 Cusco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Cusco?
Independiente Medellin vs Cusco (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Corinthians2
Penarol0