Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tigre to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Tigre vs America de Cali preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali travel to Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Friday 1 May (01:00 WAT) to face Tigre. Tigre are 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while America de Cali sit 3rd on 9 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tigre's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Sarmiento Junin 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
America de Cali's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Cali 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
America de Cali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Tigre and 0.7 for America de Cali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigre 59%, draw 21%, America de Cali 20%.
Safer route: Tigre or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Tigre to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tigre or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tigre 1–0 America de Cali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigre59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.10
America de Cali20%fair 4.93 · @4.50
2.21Expected goals
1.50Tigre xG
0.71America de Cali xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Tigre 1.5 – 0.7 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✓
59%
1.70
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Tigre or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre / FT Tigre✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
Tigre – last 6
LDLDLL
25 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Huracan
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Macara
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
21 Mar
@ Banfield
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
America de Cali – last 6
LWWWDW
26 Apr
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Millonarios
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Macara
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigre and America de Cali.
What is the prediction for Tigre vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Tigre or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tigre vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Tigre have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and America de Cali 20%.
How many goals will there be in Tigre vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Tigre 1–0 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tigre vs America de Cali?
Tigre vs America de Cali (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
