Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Motagua to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✗85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
Lobos Upnfm host CD Motagua in the Liga Nacional on Friday 1 May, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Juticalpa 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CD Motagua's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Olancho 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CD Motagua arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished CD Motagua 2–0 Lobos Upnfm.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Lobos Upnfm and 2.0 for CD Motagua. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lobos Upnfm 15%, draw 20%, CD Motagua 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos Upnfm15%fair 6.65 · @5.40
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.95
CD Motagua65%fair 1.54 · @1.50
2.90Expected goals
0.86Lobos Upnfm xG
2.04CD Motagua xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 0.9 – 2.0 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CD Motagua 65%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua?
Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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