CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees CD Marathon take on Atlético Choloma on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. CD Marathon are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Atlético Choloma sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CD Marathon's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético Choloma's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 1–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Atlético Choloma 0–0 CD Marathon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for CD Marathon and 0.8 for Atlético Choloma. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Marathon 72%, draw 18%, Atlético Choloma 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Marathon to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: CD Marathon 2–0 Atlético Choloma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Marathon72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.80
Atlético Choloma10%fair 10.35 · @8.50
3.08Expected goals
2.32CD Marathon xG
0.75Atlético Choloma xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 2.3 – 0.8 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlético Choloma 10%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 2–0 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma?
CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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