Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVictoria to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm preview and prediction
The match
Victoria host Lobos Upnfm in the Liga Nacional on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Victoria's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Platense FC 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with CD Olimpia 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lobos Upnfm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Victoria and 1.3 for Lobos Upnfm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Victoria 41%, draw 23%, Lobos Upnfm 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Lobos Upnfm to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Victoria 1–1 Lobos Upnfm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Victoria41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Lobos Upnfm37%fair 2.74 · @3.20
2.78Expected goals
1.44Victoria xG
1.34Lobos Upnfm xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Victoria 1.4 – 1.3 Lobos Upnfm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoria to win✓
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoria / FT Victoria✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
Victoria – last 6
LLLWLW
16 Mar
vs Platense FC
2–3
L
12 Mar
@ Real Espana
1–4
L
1 Mar
@ Juticalpa
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Olancho
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs CD Olimpia
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lobos Upnfm – last 6
DWLLWW
3 Apr
@ CD Olimpia
0–0
D
24 Mar
vs Olancho
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ CD Motagua
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Juticalpa
3–2
W
2 Mar
@ Génesis
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria and Lobos Upnfm.
What is the prediction for Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
On our numbers Victoria have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lobos Upnfm 37%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
Our predicted score is Victoria 1–1 Lobos Upnfm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm?
Victoria vs Lobos Upnfm (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
