Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiyala to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceDiyala or draw ✗84% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Diyala vs Al Najaf preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Diyala take on Al Najaf on Friday 27 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Diyala's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Erbil 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Al Najaf's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Mosul 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Diyala and 0.6 for Al Najaf. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Diyala 60%, draw 24%, Al Najaf 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Diyala to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Diyala 1–0 Al Najaf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Diyala60%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Al Najaf16%fair 6.44 · @5.00
2.19Expected goals
1.56Diyala xG
0.63Al Najaf xG
42%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Diyala 1.6 – 0.6 Al Najaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diyala to win✗
60%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Diyala or draw✗
84%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diyala / FT Diyala✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Diyala – last 3
LDL
23 Mar
@ Erbil
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Najaf – last 4
LDLL
17 Mar
vs Mosul
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Naft
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Minaa Basra
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Diyala and Al Najaf.
Our pick is Diyala to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Diyala vs Al Najaf?
On our numbers Diyala have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Najaf 16%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Al Najaf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Al Najaf?
Our predicted score is Diyala 1–0 Al Najaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Al Najaf?
Diyala vs Al Najaf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
