Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultErbil to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Naft Maysan vs Erbil preview and prediction
The match
Naft Maysan host Erbil in the Iraqi League on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT). Naft Maysan are 19th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Erbil sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Naft Maysan's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Al Karkh 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Erbil's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Diyala 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Naft Maysan and 1.7 for Erbil. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Erbil to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Maysan15%fair 6.69 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Erbil60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
2.48Expected goals
0.74Naft Maysan xG
1.74Erbil xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.7 – 1.7 Erbil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win✗
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Erbil or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Erbil ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.89
–
Form
Naft Maysan – last 4
DDWW
18 Mar
@ Al Karkh
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erbil – last 3
WWL
23 Mar
vs Diyala
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Duhok
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Zakho
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Maysan and Erbil.
Our pick is Erbil to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Erbil 60%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Naft Maysan vs Erbil (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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