Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC preview and prediction
The match
Valletta FC travel to Tony Bezzina Stadium in the Premier League on Wednesday 15 April (17:00 WAT) to face Naxxar Lions.
Form guide
Naxxar Lions's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Gzira United 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Valletta FC's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Tarxien Rainbows 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Naxxar Lions and 1.7 for Valletta FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naxxar Lions 21%, draw 19%, Valletta FC 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Naxxar Lions 0–1 Valletta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naxxar Lions21%fair 4.77 · @4.75
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.50
Valletta FC60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
2.53Expected goals
0.84Naxxar Lions xG
1.69Valletta FC xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 0.8 – 1.7 Valletta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valletta FC to win✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valletta FC / FT Valletta FC✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.43
–
Form
Naxxar Lions – last 6
DDDDWW
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Tarxien Rainbows
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Gzira United
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Valletta FC – last 5
WDLDW
8 Mar
vs Tarxien Rainbows
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Hamrun Spartans
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sliema Wanderers
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Gzira United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Valletta FC.
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC?
On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valletta FC 60%.
How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC?
Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 0–1 Valletta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC?
Naxxar Lions vs Valletta FC (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
