Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Hamrun Spartans take on Gzira United on Wednesday 15 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Gzira United sit 12th on 5 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hamrun Spartans's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Mosta 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gzira United's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Naxxar Lions 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Hamrun Spartans and 0.7 for Gzira United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hamrun Spartans 65%, draw 23%, Gzira United 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Gzira United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamrun Spartans65%fair 1.54 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.60
Gzira United12%fair 8.42 · @7.80
2.70Expected goals
1.96Hamrun Spartans xG
0.74Gzira United xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 2.0 – 0.7 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win✗
65%
1.54
1.33
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Half-time result
Hamrun Spartans ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Hamrun Spartans – last 6
LWDDWW
15 Mar
@ Mosta
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Birkirkara
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Valletta FC
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Floriana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Hibernians
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gzira United – last 6
DWWWLL
4 Apr
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Mosta
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Hibernians
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Mosta
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Naxxar Lions
2–4
L
13 Feb
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Gzira United.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gzira United 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United?
Hamrun Spartans vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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