Value bet: Sliema Wanderers to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.73
Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Tarxien Rainbows take on Sliema Wanderers on Thursday 30 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Centenary Stadium.
Form guide
Tarxien Rainbows's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Birkirkara 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sliema Wanderers's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Zabbar St. Patrick 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sliema Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Tarxien Rainbows and 1.4 for Sliema Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Sliema Wanderers to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tarxien Rainbows 1–1 Sliema Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tarxien Rainbows35%fair 2.82 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Sliema Wanderers44%fair 2.30 · @2.50
2.60Expected goals
1.21Tarxien Rainbows xG
1.39Sliema Wanderers xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tarxien Rainbows 1.2 – 1.4 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sliema Wanderers to win✗
44%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.73
–
Form
Tarxien Rainbows – last 6
DDWDLL
24 Apr
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
3–3
D
14 Apr
vs Hibernians
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Valletta FC
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Naxxar Lions
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sliema Wanderers – last 6
DDWDWD
26 Apr
@ Zabbar St. Patrick
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Mosta
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hibernians
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Valletta FC
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Birkirkara
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tarxien Rainbows and Sliema Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers?
On our numbers Tarxien Rainbows have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sliema Wanderers 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Tarxien Rainbows 1–1 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers?
Tarxien Rainbows vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
