Mosta travel to Tony Bezzina Stadium in the Premier League on Thursday 30 April (17:30 WAT) to face Birkirkara. Birkirkara are 7th with 16 points from 12 games, while Mosta sit 9th on 15 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Birkirkara's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Tarxien Rainbows 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mosta's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Hibernians 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Birkirkara and 1.1 for Mosta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birkirkara 48%, draw 21%, Mosta 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Birkirkara 1–1 Mosta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birkirkara48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.35
Mosta31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.47Birkirkara xG
1.10Mosta xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Birkirkara 1.5 – 1.1 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birkirkara to win✗
48%
2.08
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birkirkara / FT Birkirkara✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
Birkirkara – last 6
DLLWDW
24 Apr
@ Tarxien Rainbows
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Sliema Wanderers
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Hamrun Spartans
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Naxxar Lions
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Pietà Hotspurs
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mosta – last 6
LDWWLL
24 Apr
@ Hibernians
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Sliema Wanderers
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Hamrun Spartans
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Gzira United
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Gzira United
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birkirkara and Mosta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Birkirkara vs Mosta?
On our numbers Birkirkara have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mosta 31%.
How many goals will there be in Birkirkara vs Mosta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birkirkara vs Mosta?
Our predicted score is Birkirkara 1–1 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Birkirkara vs Mosta?
Birkirkara vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows2