Value bet: ASA Targu Mures to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA Targu Mures to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceASA Targu Mures or draw ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău preview and prediction
The match
The Liga II sees ASA Targu Mures take on Metalul Buzău on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Trans-Sil. ASA Targu Mures are 17th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Metalul Buzău sit 7th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ASA Targu Mures's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metalul Buzău's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat CS Dinamo București 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished ASA Targu Mures 1–0 Metalul Buzău.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for ASA Targu Mures and 0.9 for Metalul Buzău. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: ASA Targu Mures or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: ASA Targu Mures to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: ASA Targu Mures 2–0 Metalul Buzău. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA Targu Mures61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.35
Metalul Buzău19%fair 5.22 · @4.00
2.83Expected goals
1.90ASA Targu Mures xG
0.93Metalul Buzău xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.9 – 0.9 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Metalul Buzău 19%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 2–0 Metalul Buzău, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău?
ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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