Value bet: Dumbrăviţa to win @ 3.20 – our chance 40% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDumbrăviţa to win ✗40% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa preview and prediction
The match
CSM Satu Mare host Dumbrăviţa in the Liga II on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT) at Daniel Prodan Stadium. CSM Satu Mare are 18th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dumbrăviţa sit 22nd on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
CSM Satu Mare's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to CSM Reşiţa 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dumbrăviţa's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Concordia 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dumbrăviţa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for CSM Satu Mare and 1.4 for Dumbrăviţa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSM Satu Mare 38%, draw 23%, Dumbrăviţa 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Dumbrăviţa to win at 3.20 – 40% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: CSM Satu Mare 1–1 Dumbrăviţa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSM Satu Mare38%fair 2.67 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Dumbrăviţa40%fair 2.53 · @3.20
2.71Expected goals
1.33CSM Satu Mare xG
1.38Dumbrăviţa xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: CSM Satu Mare 1.3 – 1.4 Dumbrăviţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dumbrăviţa to win✗
40%
2.53
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dumbrăviţa / FT Dumbrăviţa✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
CSM Satu Mare – last 5
LWLDL
21 Mar
@ CSM Reşiţa
0–2
L
14 Mar
vs CS Dinamo București
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ Concordia
2–4
L
28 Feb
vs Tunari
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Politehnica Iasi
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Dumbrăviţa – last 5
LWWWL
21 Mar
@ Concordia
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs Concordia
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Politehnica Iasi
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ CS Afumati
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Satu Mare and Dumbrăviţa.
What is the prediction for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
On our numbers CSM Satu Mare have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dumbrăviţa 40%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
Our predicted score is CSM Satu Mare 1–1 Dumbrăviţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa?
CSM Satu Mare vs Dumbrăviţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Daniel Prodan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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